National League | Gameweek 43

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
2 - 3
Maidenhead

Nwabuokei (4'), Maguire (16')
Langston (67'), Atangana (69'), Vokins (78')

FT(HT: 2-0)

De Havilland (53'), Atangana (70' og.), McCoulsky (83')
Pettit (63'), Mitchell-Lawson (71'), McCoulsky (82'), McCoulsky (83')

Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Maidenhead United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Woking 0-1 Eastleigh
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 4-0 Aldershot
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Maidenhead United
33.13% ( -0.16)	23.95% ( -0.08)	42.92% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 60.79% (

0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.61% (

0.34)

41.39% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.21% (

0.34)

63.79% (

-0.35)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.55% (

0.07)

24.45% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.11% (

0.1)

58.88% (

-0.1)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.47% (

0.25)

19.53% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.57% (

0.4)

51.43% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 33.13%

Maidenhead United 42.92%

Draw 23.94%

Eastleigh	Draw	Maidenhead United
2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.78% Total : 33.13%	1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.94%	1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 42.92%