National League | Gameweek 38

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

York Road Stadium

Maidenhead
4 - 2
Dorking

Beckwith (10'), Smith (28'), Mitchell-Lawson (42'), Abrahams (89')
Massey (30'), Ferdinand (35'), Ross (90+5')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Carter (13'), Prior (66')
Moore (45+3'), McManus (90+6'), McManus (90+6')

Coverage of the National League clash between Maidenhead United and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidenhead United

All competitions

Last Game: Fylde 4-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 2-1 Dorking
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.

Result
Maidenhead United	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
40.15% ( -0.04)	25.82% ( -0.01)	34.02% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 54.5% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.31% (

0.04)

49.68% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.3% (

0.04)

71.7% (

-0.04)

Maidenhead United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.58%

24.42% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.15% (

-0)

58.84% (

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

0.05)

27.88% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5% (

0.06)

63.5% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Maidenhead United 40.15%

Dorking Wanderers 34.02%

Draw 25.81%

Maidenhead United	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.15%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81%	0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.02%