Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rochdale.