National League | Gameweek 41

Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
1 - 1
Hartlepool

Maguire (78' pen.)
Reeves (61'), McCallum (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Grey (19')
Parkes (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Eastleigh and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 2-1 Eastleigh
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 Southend
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 50.25%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 2-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Hartlepool United
26.89% ( 0.04)	22.86% ( 0.01)	50.25% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 60.74% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.22% (

-0)

39.77% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.87% (

-0)

62.13% (

0.01)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

0.03)

27.67% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

0.04)

63.22% (

-0.04)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.97% (

-0.02)

16.02% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.63% (

-0.03)

45.36% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 26.89%

Hartlepool United 50.25%

Draw 22.86%

Eastleigh	Draw	Hartlepool United
2-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.89%	1-1 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.86%	1-2 @ 9.55% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.67% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 50.25%