Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 46.66%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.