Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%).