Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Napoli

Biraghi (40'), N'Zola (42')
Mandragora (84')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Rrahmani (8'), Kvaratskhelia (57')
Kvaratskhelia (41'), Cajuste (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Monza
Monday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Napoli

All competitions

Last Game: Napoli 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, May 11 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Napoli
42.61% ( -1.46)	24.57% ( -0.02)	32.81% ( 1.48)

Both teams to score 58.46% (

0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.6% (

0.66)

44.39% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.23% (

0.64)

66.76% (

-0.65)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.08% (

-0.38)

20.92% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.35% (

-0.6)

53.64% (

0.59)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92% (

1.25)

26.07% (

-1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.88% (

1.65)

61.12% (

-1.66)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 42.61%

Napoli 32.81%

Draw 24.57%

Fiorentina	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.61%	1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.57%	1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.81%