Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 1
Monza

Gonzalez (32'), Arthur (78')
Parisi (41')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Djuric (9')
Bondo (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Brugge 1-1 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 8 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 2-2 Lazio
Saturday, May 4 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Monza
61.55% ( -0.19)	21.42% ( 0.05)	17.03% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 51.37% (

0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53% (

0.04)

45.47% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.19% (

0.04)

67.8% (

-0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.75% (

-0.05)

14.25% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.99% (

-0.09)

42.01% (

0.09)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.9% (

0.2)

40.09% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.26% (

0.19)

76.74% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 61.54%

Monza 17.03%

Draw 21.42%

Fiorentina	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 61.54%	1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 1% Total : 21.42%	0-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 17.03%