Serie A Gameweek 36
May 13, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Nicolas Gonzalez 32' goal
  • Fabiano Parisi 41' yellowcard
  • Arthur 78' goal
  • goal Milan Djuric 9'
  • yellowcard Warren Bondo 69'

Fiorentina vs Monza - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2024 2.00pm
Hellas Verona 2 - 1 Fiorentina
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Nicolas Gonzalez

Monza

All competitions
Last game
May 4, 2024 5.00pm
Monza 2 - 2 Lazio
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Andrea Colpani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Fiorentina 61.55% (-0.20)
Draw 21.42% (+0.05)
Monza 17.03% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.37% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.53% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 45.47% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 32.19% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.8% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.21% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.78% (-0.04)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 85.75% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 14.25% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 57.99% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 42.01% (+0.09)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5 59.9% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 40.09% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 23.26% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 76.74% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 61.54%
Draw 21.42%
Monza 17.03%
Fiorentina
1-0 @ 11.13% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 10.84% (-0.07)
2-1 @ 9.91% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.04% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.43% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.94% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.43% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 61.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.17% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.53% (+0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 21.42%
Monza
0-1 @ 5.22% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.65% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 2.39% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.38% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.03%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Pablo Mari 33' yellowcard
  • Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro 72' yellowcard
  • Danilo D'Ambrosio 88' yellowcard
  • goal Lucas Beltran 7'
  • yellowcard Lucas Beltran 33'
  • yellowcard Yerry Mina 68'
  • yellowcard Michael Kayode 86'
  • yellowcard Luca Ranieri 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2023 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT U-Power Stadium
  • Cristiano Biraghi 26' goal
  • Dany Mota 43' goal
  • Matteo Pessina 59' goal
  • goal Christian Kouame 8'
  • goal Riccardo Saponara 13'
Serie A Gameweek 16
Jan 4, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Arthur Cabral 19' goal
  • goal Carlos Augusto 61'
Coppa Italia
Aug 18, 2019 5.15pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Aleksa Terzic 29' yellowcard
  • Luca Ranieri 71' yellowcard
  • Dusan Vlahovic 80' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 86' goal
  • Dusan Vlahovic 87' yellowcard
  • Federico Chiesa 89' goal
  • yellowcard Mario Sampirisi 33'
  • goal Andrea Brighenti 34'
  • yellowcard Filippo Scaglia 39'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Bellusci 44'
  • yellowcard Simone Iocolano 85'