Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
| 38.3% ( | 28.14% ( | 33.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.09% ( | 58.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.6% ( | 79.4% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.22% ( | 29.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.14% ( | 65.86% ( |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( | 32.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.64% ( | 69.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% ( 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 2-0 @ 7.17% ( 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 38.3% | 1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.77% ( 2-2 @ 4.45% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 10.89% ( 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0-2 @ 6.07% ( 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.57% |