Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lecce |
| 42.67% ( | 25.73% ( | 31.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.05% ( | 49.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.07% ( | 71.93% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.73% ( | 23.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.8% ( | 57.2% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.42% ( | 29.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.39% ( | 65.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.66% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0-2 @ 5.11% ( 1-3 @ 3.02% ( 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 1-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.6% |