Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 35

May 4, 2024 at 5pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
2 - 2
Lazio

Djuric (73')
Donati (80+6'), Donati (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Immobile (11'), Vecino (83')
Zaccagni (15'), Casale (35'), Kamada (45'), Romagnoli (56'), Patric (68'), Vecino (90+5'), Cataldi (90+6'), Vecino (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Monza and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Monza
Saturday, April 27 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Hellas Verona
Saturday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 42.47%. A win for Monza had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Lazio
32.19% ( -0.42)	25.35% ( -0.37)	42.47% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 55.55% (

1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.92% (

1.49)

48.08% (

-1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.75% (

1.35)

70.25% (

-1.35)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

0.46)

28.27% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.02% (

0.58)

63.98% (

-0.58)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

1.04)

22.56% (

-1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85% (

1.52)

56.15% (

-1.52)

Score Analysis

Monza 32.19%

Lazio 42.47%

Draw 25.34%

Monza	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 32.19%	1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.19) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.12) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.23% Total : 42.47%