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Serie A

Genoa logo
Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 19, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Lazio logo

Genoa
0 - 1
Lazio


Vogliacco (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alberto (67')
Casale (16'), Cataldi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions
Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Genoa
Monday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 4-1 Salernitana
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 47.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (8.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawLazio
47.11% (0.509 0.51)26.69% (-0.064 -0.06)26.2% (-0.446 -0.45)
Both teams to score 47.92% (-0.158 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)56.33% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.64% (-0.029 -0.03)77.36% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.224 0.22)23.92% (-0.225 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.87% (0.32100000000001 0.32)58.13% (-0.322 -0.32)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (-0.397 -0.4)37.01% (0.39400000000001 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.2% (-0.394 -0.39)73.8% (0.392 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 47.11%
    Lazio 26.2%
    Draw 26.68%
GenoaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.06% (0.131 0.13)
2-1 @ 9% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.044 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.54% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 47.11%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.47% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 8.8% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 26.2%

How you voted: Genoa vs Lazio

Genoa
23.8%
Draw
28.5%
Lazio
47.7%
130
Head to Head
Dec 5, 2023 8pm
Round of 16
Lazio
1-0
Genoa
Guendouzi (5')
Pellegrini (90+4')

Galdames (49'), Fini (85')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Lazio
0-1
Genoa

Cataldi (38'), Pellegrini (90+2'), Zaccagni (90+3'), Immobile (90+4')
Retegui (16')
Frendrup (39'), Malinovskyi (61')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 32
Genoa
1-4
Lazio
Patric (68' og.)
Marusic (31'), Immobile (45+1', 63', 76')
Leiva (37')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Lazio
3-1
Genoa
Pedro (36'), Acerbi (75'), Zaccagni (81')
Melegoni (86')
Ghiglione (30'), Vasquez (60'), Portanova (73')
> Preview
May 2, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 34
Lazio
4-3
Genoa
Correa (30', 56'), Immobile (43' pen.), Alberto (48')
Leiva (45'), Cataldi (79'), Fares (83')
Marusic (47' og.), Scamacca (80' pen.), Shomurodov (81')
Biraschi (32'), Radovanovic (43'), Masiello (70'), Cassata (90+2')
> Preview