Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari2 - 3Fiorentina
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonaventura (39'), Gonzalez (89'), Arthur (90+13' pen.)
Mandragora (44'), Biraghi (45+3'), Ranieri (45+2'), Bonaventura (71'), N'Zola (89')
Mandragora (44'), Biraghi (45+3'), Ranieri (45+2'), Bonaventura (71'), N'Zola (89')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Cagliari
Sunday, May 19 at 11.30am in Serie A
Sunday, May 19 at 11.30am in Serie A
We said: Cagliari 1-1 Fiorentina
Cagliari playing at home almost always means goals at both ends of the field, and the added incentive of giving Ranieri the send-off he deserves will be an incredibly strong motivation for the Rossoblu to end the season on a high. Meanwhile, Fiorentina's exploits on the road often leave a lot to be desired, and as minds wander towards the Europa Conference League final, Ranieri's side can feel hopeful of stealing a point before the 72-year-old calls time on his illustrious career. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Fiorentina |
26.13% ( -0.13) | 26.08% ( 0.1) | 47.8% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
