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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Fiorentina logo

Cagliari
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Deiola (64'), Mutandwa (85')
Sulemana (90+4'), Mina (90+2'), Sulemana (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonaventura (39'), Gonzalez (89'), Arthur (90+13' pen.)
Mandragora (44'), Biraghi (45+3'), Ranieri (45+2'), Bonaventura (71'), N'Zola (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Cagliari
Sunday, May 19 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Napoli
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Fiorentina

Cagliari playing at home almost always means goals at both ends of the field, and the added incentive of giving Ranieri the send-off he deserves will be an incredibly strong motivation for the Rossoblu to end the season on a high. Meanwhile, Fiorentina's exploits on the road often leave a lot to be desired, and as minds wander towards the Europa Conference League final, Ranieri's side can feel hopeful of stealing a point before the 72-year-old calls time on his illustrious career. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawFiorentina
26.13% (-0.13 -0.13) 26.08% (0.099 0.1) 47.8% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.62% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9% (-0.462 -0.46)54.1% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48% (-0.387 -0.39)75.52% (0.39500000000001 0.4)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.36 -0.36)35.85% (0.368 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.37% (-0.373 -0.37)72.63% (0.38000000000001 0.38)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.36% (-0.173 -0.17)22.64% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.73% (-0.265 -0.27)56.27% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 26.13%
    Fiorentina 47.79%
    Draw 26.07%
CagliariDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 26.13%
1-1 @ 12.36% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.147 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 12.05% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.96% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 47.79%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Fiorentina

Cagliari
30.1%
Draw
24.3%
Fiorentina
45.6%
136
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Fiorentina
3-0
Cagliari
Gonzalez (3'), Dossena (21' og.), N'Zola (90+4')
Infantino (86')

Pavoletti (90+2')
Jan 23, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 23
Cagliari
1-1
Fiorentina
Pedro (47')
Altare (10'), Mazzarri (60'), Pedro (81'), Ceppitelli (86')
Sottil (75')
Biraghi (29'), Sottil (75'), Maleh (89')
Odriozola (65')
Oct 24, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 9
Fiorentina
3-0
Cagliari
Biraghi (21' pen.), Gonzalez (42'), Vlahovic (49')

Balde (20'), Marin (48')
May 12, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Cagliari
0-0
Fiorentina
Pulgar (27'), Caceres (67')
Jan 10, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
1-0
Cagliari
Vlahovic (72')
Biraghi (77')

Oliva (53'), Tramoni (86'), Pavoletti (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
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Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 Austria Austria00000
3 France France00000
4 Poland Poland10010

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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