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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Cagliari logo

Inter Milan
2 - 2
Cagliari

Thuram (12'), Calhanoglu (74' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Shomurodov (64'), Viola (83')
Prati (40'), Mina (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 74.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 9.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.44%) and 3-0 (10.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.88%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
Inter MilanDrawCagliari
74.07% (0.249 0.25)16.59% (-0.106 -0.11)9.34% (-0.1389 -0.14)
Both teams to score 44.88% (-0.192 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.88% (0.058 0.06)42.12% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.48% (0.057000000000002 0.06)64.52% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.17% (0.076999999999998 0.08)9.82% (-0.0739 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.38% (0.176 0.18)32.62% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.77% (-0.254 -0.25)50.23% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.18% (-0.178 -0.18)84.82% (0.182 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 74.06%
    Cagliari 9.34%
    Draw 16.59%
Inter MilanDrawCagliari
2-0 @ 13.28% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
1-0 @ 11.44%
3-0 @ 10.27% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 7.08%
4-0 @ 5.96% (0.063 0.06)
4-1 @ 4.1% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.77% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.91% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.006 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.07% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 74.06%
1-1 @ 7.88% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 16.59%
0-1 @ 3.4% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.71% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 1.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 9.34%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Cagliari

Inter Milan
82.7%
Draw
3.8%
Cagliari
13.5%
52
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Cagliari
0-2
Inter Milan

Luvumbo (83')
Dumfries (21'), Martinez (30')
Mkhitaryan (81')
May 15, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Cagliari
1-3
Inter Milan
Darmian (25'), Martinez (51', 84')
Darmian (37'), Calhanoglu (87')
Dec 12, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Inter Milan
4-0
Cagliari
Martinez (29', 68'), Sanchez (50'), Calhanoglu (66')
Martinez (33')

Cragno (43'), Deiola (76')
Apr 11, 2021 11.30am
Gameweek 30
Inter Milan
1-0
Cagliari
Darmian (77')
Brozovic (52')

Nainggolan (90+3')
Dec 13, 2020 11.30am
Gameweek 11
Cagliari
1-3
Inter Milan
Sottil (42')
Farago (10'), Pavoletti (71')
Barella (77'), D'Ambrosio (84'), Lukaku (90+4')
Darmian (16')