Serie A Gameweek 35
May 5, 2024 11.30am
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Yerry Mina 26' goal
  • Gianluca Gaetano 42' redcard
  • Claudio Ranieri 44' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Gaetano 44' redcard
  • Simone Scuffet 64' yellowcard
  • Nahitan Nandez 74' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 77' yellowcard
  • Alessandro Deiola 78' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Augello 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Roberto Piccoli 14'
  • yellowcard Nicola Sansone 54'
  • yellowcard Ylber Ramadani 56'
  • yellowcard Federico Baschirotto 74'
  • goal Nikola Krstovic 84'

Cagliari vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2024 7.45pm
Genoa 3 - 0 Cagliari
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Nicolas Viola

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 2.00pm
Lecce 1 - 1 Monza
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Nikola Krstovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.49%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Cagliari 45.49% (-2.24)
Draw 26.67% (+0.47)
Lecce 27.84% (+1.78)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.15% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.67% (-0.69)
Under 2.5 55.32% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 23.46% (-0.57)
Under 3.5 76.54% (+0.57)
Over 4.5 10.39% (-0.36)
Under 4.5 89.6% (+0.36)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5 75.75% (-1.36)
Under 0.5 24.25% (+1.36)
Over 1.5 41.39% (-1.96)
Under 1.5 58.6% (+1.95)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 64.88% (+1.10)
Under 0.5 35.12% (-1.10)
Over 1.5 28.13% (+1.13)
Under 1.5 71.86% (-1.13)

Score analysis

Cagliari 45.49%
Draw 26.66%
Lecce 27.84%
Cagliari
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.21)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.47)
3-1 @ 4.22% (-0.28)
3-0 @ 4.04% (-0.40)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.08)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.17)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.21)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.62% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 8.52% (+0.23)
2-2 @ 4.68% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.66%
Lecce
0-1 @ 8.91% (+0.49)
1-2 @ 6.61% (+0.30)
0-2 @ 4.66% (+0.39)
1-3 @ 2.31% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 1.63% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 1.63% (+0.18)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 27.84%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 19
Jan 6, 2024 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Valentin Gendrey 31' goal
  • Gabriel Espeto 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alberto Dossena 35'
  • goal Gaetano Oristanio 68'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Jul 12, 2020 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Sardegna Arena
  • Valter Birsa 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessandro Deiola 75'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2019 2.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
  • Jacopo Petriccione 68' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Lapadula 82' goal
  • Gianluca Lapadula 85' redcard
  • Marco Calderoni 91' goal
  • Diego Farias 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charalampos Lykogiannis 21'
  • goal Joao Pedro 30'
  • yellowcard Marko Rog 45'
  • goal Radja Nainggolan 67'
  • redcard Fabrizio Cacciatore 81'
  • redcard Robin Olsen 85'