Serie A
Gameweek
34
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-
Morten Thorsby
17'
-
Morten Frendrup
27'
-
Albert Gudmundsson
63'
-
Eldor Shomurodov
58'
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Tommaso Augello
72'
Genoa vs Cagliari - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.06%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result
Genoa
50.74%
▲
(+1.36)
Draw
25.42%
▼
(-0.14)
Cagliari
23.84%
▼
(-1.23)
Both Teams to Score:
49.41%
▼
(-0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.69%
▼
(-0.46)
Under 2.5
53.31%
▲
(+0.46)
Over 3.5
25.14%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 3.5
74.86%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 4.5
11.45%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 4.5
88.55%
▲
(+0.25)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5
78.97%
▲
(+0.40)
Under 0.5
21.03%
▼
(-0.40)
Over 1.5
46.18%
▲
(+0.61)
Under 1.5
53.82%
▼
(-0.61)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5
62.57%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 0.5
37.43%
▲
(+1.35)
Over 1.5
25.79%
▼
(-1.35)
Under 1.5
74.21%
▲
(+1.35)
Score analysis
Genoa
50.74%
Draw
25.42%
Cagliari
23.84%
Genoa
1-0
@
12.27%
▲
(+0.36)
2-0 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.40)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.74%
2-0 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.40)
2-1 @ 9.4% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.27)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.4% ▼ (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.13)
4-1 @ 1.91% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.74%
Draw
1-1
@
12.06%
▼
(-0.09)
0-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.42%
0-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.42%
Cagliari
0-1
@
7.73%
▼
(-0.15)
1-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.26)
0-2 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.22)
1-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.17)
2-3 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.25% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 23.84%
Valon Behrami
83'