UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki

Olympiacos
2 - 0
Aston Villa

(Olympiacos win 6-2 on aggregate)

El Kaabi (10', 78')
Rodinei (30'), Podence (53'), Quini (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Luiz (45+5'), Iroegbunam (73'), Duran (89')

Reaction

Aston Villa manager Unai Emery before the match on May 9, 2024

'Aston Villa won't extend frustration over Europe' - Unai Emery comments on Olympiacos defeat

Aston Villa head coach Unai Emery insists his players will quickly get over their Europa Conference League semi-final exit to Olympiacos.

May 9, 22:59

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa fail to progress to the Europa Conference League final after losing 6-2 on aggregate to Olympiacos in the semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Olympiacos and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Olympiacos

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Olympiacos
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Aston Villa
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 18.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
Olympiacos	Draw	Aston Villa
61.41% ( 0.26)	20.46% ( -0.07)	18.12% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 56.89% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.74% (

0.03)

39.26% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.41% (

0.03)

61.59% (

-0.03)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.67% (

0.08)

12.33% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.87% (

0.17)

38.13% (

-0.17)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.89% (

-0.18)

35.11% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.14% (

-0.18)

71.86% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Olympiacos 61.41%

Aston Villa 18.12%

Draw 20.46%

Olympiacos	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.82% Total : 61.41%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.46%	1-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 18.12%