Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Jun 2, 2024 at 5pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Lookman (12'), Scalvini (32')

FT(HT: 2-3)

Belotti (6', 45+1'), Gonzalez (19')
Martinez (75'), Ranieri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 Torino
Sunday, May 26 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Olympiacos 1-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Fiorentina
39.05% ( 0.07)	26.25% ( -0.02)	34.7% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 53.21% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.6% (

0.06)

51.4% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.78% (

0.05)

73.21% (

-0.05)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.21% (

0.06)

25.78% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.27% (

0.09)

60.73% (

-0.09)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.7% (

-0.01)

28.3% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.97% (

-0.01)

64.02% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 39.05%

Fiorentina 34.7%

Draw 26.25%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.05%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 34.7%