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Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Roma logo

Atalanta
2 - 1
Roma

De Ketelaere (18', 20')
Piero Gasperini (43'), Koopmeiners (58')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Pellegrini (66' pen.)
N'Dicka (46')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Roma
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Atalanta BC 0-0 Roma

Atalanta often falter against other teams in Serie A's top six, while Roma are rarely at their best away from home. Following intense Europa League semi-finals, both will also be weary, so this crucial contest could end in a stalemate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
55.32% (-0.323 -0.32) 23.33% (0.119 0.12) 21.35% (0.206 0.21)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.58% (-0.249 -0.25)47.43% (0.251 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.36% (-0.231 -0.23)69.64% (0.233 0.23)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.01% (-0.20399999999999 -0.2)17% (0.206 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.89% (-0.364 -0.36)47.12% (0.366 0.37)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.49% (0.063000000000002 0.06)36.51% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.71% (0.064 0.06)73.29% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 55.32%
    Roma 21.35%
    Draw 23.33%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.99% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.82% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 55.32%
1-1 @ 11.08% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.21% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.33%
0-1 @ 6.25% (0.076 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.88% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 21.35%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Roma

Atalanta BC
57.5%
Draw
29.2%
Roma
13.3%
120
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Roma
1-1
Atalanta
Dybala (39' pen.)
Mourinho (45+7'), Kristensen (63')
Mourinho (90+4')
Koopmeiners (8')
Scalvini (29'), Ruggeri (37'), Ederson (43'), Koopmeiners (55'), Zappacosta (74'), Holm (90')
Apr 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Atalanta
3-1
Roma
Pasalic (39'), Toloi (74'), Koopmeiners (84')
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
0-1
Atalanta
Scalvini (35')
Mar 5, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 28
Roma
1-0
Atalanta
Abraham (32')
Cristante (9'), Abraham (20'), Mkhitaryan (66'), Kumbulla (69'), Ibanez (85')
Mkhitaryan (90+6')

Malinovskyi (78'), Demiral (86'), de Roon (90+4')
de Roon (90+4')
Dec 18, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
1-4
Roma
Cristante (45+1' og.)
de Roon (8')
Abraham (1', 82'), Zaniolo (27'), Smalling (72')
Zaniolo (9'), Ibanez (50'), Mancini (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta00000000
2Bologna00000000
3CagliariCagliari00000000
4Como00000000
5Empoli00000000
6Fiorentina00000000
7Genoa00000000
8Hellas VeronaHellas Verona00000000
9Inter Milan00000000
10Juventus00000000
11Lazio00000000
12Lecce00000000
13AC Milan00000000
14Monza00000000
15Napoli00000000
16Parma00000000
17Roma00000000
18Torino00000000
19Udinese00000000
20VeneziaVenezia00000000


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