Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
55.32% ( -0.32) | 23.33% ( 0.12) | 21.35% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 52.7% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.58% ( -0.25) | 47.43% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.36% ( -0.23) | 69.64% ( 0.23) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% ( -0.2) | 17% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.89% ( -0.36) | 47.12% ( 0.37) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.49% ( 0.06) | 36.51% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.71% ( 0.06) | 73.29% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 55.32% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 22 |
2 | Inter Milan | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 16 |
4 | Juventus | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 16 |
5 | Udinese | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 16 |
6 | AC Milan | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 14 |
7 | Torino | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
8 | Fiorentina | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
9 | Lazio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 13 |
10 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 |
11 | Roma | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Como | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Bologna | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 9 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 9 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
16 | Monza | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 7 |
17 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 7 |
18 | Genoa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 6 |
19 | Lecce | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 5 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
> Serie A Full Table |