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Serie A | Gameweek 32
Apr 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Dacia Arena
Roma logo

Udinese
1 - 2
Roma

Pereyra (23')
Kamara (31'), Bijol (58'), Payero (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lukaku (64'), Cristante (90+5')
Baldanzi (69'), Karsdorp (90+3'), Karsdorp (90+14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Inter Milan
Monday, April 8 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Next Game: Hellas Verona vs. Udinese
Saturday, April 20 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Roma
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa League
Next Game: Roma vs. AC Milan
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Udinese 0-2 Roma

Since Udinese won 4-0 in their last home game against Roma, back in September 2022, much has changed at both clubs. A similar result in the visitors' favour is not totally improbable on this occasion, but the Giallorossi's margin of victory may just be a little narrower. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawRoma
29.56% (-0.044 -0.04) 26.37% (-0.187 -0.19) 44.07% (0.236 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.08% (0.549 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (0.72 0.72)53.33% (-0.716 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (0.606 0.61)74.87% (-0.602 -0.6)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.26% (0.34099999999999 0.34)32.74% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (0.379 0.38)69.3% (-0.375 -0.38)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (0.43599999999999 0.44)24.06% (-0.432 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (0.61499999999999 0.61)58.34% (-0.611 -0.61)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 29.56%
    Roma 44.07%
    Draw 26.37%
UdineseDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.8% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.91% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.6% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.83%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 29.56%
1-1 @ 12.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.224 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 11.22% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.99% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.8% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.065 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.07%

How you voted: Udinese vs Roma

Udinese
15.0%
Draw
15.0%
Roma
70.0%
80
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 13
Roma
3-1
Udinese
Mancini (20'), Dybala (81'), El Shaarawy (90')
Pellegrini (33')
Thauvin (57')
Ferreira (19'), Samardzic (26'), Success (27')
Apr 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Roma
3-0
Udinese
Bove (37'), Pellegrini (55'), Abraham (90+1')
Sep 4, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Udinese
4-0
Roma
Udogie (5'), Samardzic (56'), Pereyra (75'), Lovric (82')
Mar 13, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 29
Udinese
1-1
Roma
Molina (15')
Deulofeu (26'), Makengo (86'), Becao (90+2')
Pellegrini (90+4' pen.)
Afena-Gyan (70'), Ibanez (88')
Sep 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Roma
1-0
Udinese
Abraham (36')
Pellegrini (56'), Cristante (65'), Calafiori (66')
Pellegrini (90')

Walace (32')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
15FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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