Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.