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Serie A | Gameweek 33
Apr 22, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Bologna logo

Roma
1 - 3
Bologna

Azmoun (55')
Paredes (6'), Angelino (13'), Pellegrini (33'), El Shaarawy (40'), Freuler (63')
FT(HT: 0-2)
El Azzouzi (14'), Zirkzee (45'), Saelemaekers (65')
Zirkzee (6'), Llorente (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Monza
Saturday, April 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-0 Bologna

Roma have had less chance to rest and recover, but they have recently shown an ability to grind out results rather than simply playing on the front foot under Daniele De Rossi. Bologna (seven) are one of only two teams to have scored more goals in second-half stoppage time than the Giallorossi (five) in Serie A this season, so this contest could go right to the wire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
RomaDrawBologna
43.09% (0.95 0.95) 26.36% (0.099 0.1) 30.54% (-1.052 -1.05)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.766 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.08% (-0.779 -0.78)52.92% (0.777 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (-0.668 -0.67)74.53% (0.667 0.67)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (0.13 0.13)24.37% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.23% (0.186 0.19)58.77% (-0.185 -0.19)
Bologna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (-1.132 -1.13)31.81% (1.131 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.75% (-1.316 -1.32)68.25% (1.316 1.32)
Score Analysis
    Roma 43.08%
    Bologna 30.55%
    Draw 26.36%
RomaDrawBologna
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.73% (0.292 0.29)
3-1 @ 4.17% (0.046 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.64% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.47% (0.022 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.28% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.08%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.235 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.07% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.36%
0-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.18% (-0.201 -0.2)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.166 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 30.55%

How you voted: Roma vs Bologna

Roma
75.1%
Draw
16.0%
Bologna
8.8%
181
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 16
Bologna
2-0
Roma
Moro (37'), Kristensen (49' og.)
Saelemaekers (9'), Beukema (33'), Ferguson (45+1'), Freuler (66')

Llorente (9'), Pellegrini (36'), Paredes (66'), Bove (72')
May 14, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 35
Bologna
0-0
Roma
Jan 4, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 16
Roma
1-0
Bologna
Pellegrini (6' pen.)
May 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Roma
0-0
Bologna
Medel (41')
Dec 1, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
Bologna
1-0
Roma
Svanberg (35')
Soriano (38'), Skorupski (88'), Sansone (90+2')

Abraham (45+1'), Perez (59'), Zaniolo (72'), Mourinho (81'), Karsdorp (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta00000000
2Bologna00000000
3CagliariCagliari00000000
4Como00000000
5Empoli00000000
6Fiorentina00000000
7Genoa00000000
8Hellas VeronaHellas Verona00000000
9Inter Milan00000000
10Juventus00000000
11Lazio00000000
12Lecce00000000
13AC Milan00000000
14Monza00000000
15Napoli00000000
16Parma00000000
17Roma00000000
18Torino00000000
19Udinese00000000
20VeneziaVenezia00000000


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