Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.