Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 33

Apr 22, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 3
Bologna

Azmoun (55')
Paredes (6'), Angelino (13'), Pellegrini (33'), El Shaarawy (40'), Freuler (63')

FT(HT: 0-2)

El Azzouzi (14'), Zirkzee (45'), Saelemaekers (65')
Zirkzee (6'), Llorente (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 2-1 AC Milan
Thursday, April 18 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Monza
Saturday, April 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Bologna
43.09% ( 0.95)	26.36% ( 0.1)	30.54% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 51.57% (

-0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.08% (

-0.78)

52.92% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47% (

-0.67)

74.53% (

0.67)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

0.13)

24.37% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23% (

0.19)

58.77% (

-0.19)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19% (

-1.13)

31.81% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.75% (

-1.32)

68.25% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Roma 43.08%

Bologna 30.55%

Draw 26.36%

Roma	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.37) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.08%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.36%	0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.79% Total : 30.55%