Europa League

Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 9, 2024 at 8pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Roma

(Bayer Leverkusen win 4-2 on aggregate)

Mancini (82' og.), Stanisic (90+7')
Tapsoba (20'), Tah (42'), Adli (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Paredes (43' pen., 66' pen.)
Mancini (20'), Pellegrini (21'), Paredes (27'), Zalewski (29')

The Match

Match Report

Bayer Leverkusen magnificently save their unbeaten run and reach the Europa League final with a 4-2 aggregate win over Roma in the semi-finals.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-5 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Roma 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.53%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Roma had a probability of 14.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.91%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Roma
66.53% ( -0.42)	18.99% ( 0.13)	14.47% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 53.64% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.53% (

-0.01)

39.47% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.18% (

-0.01)

61.81% (

0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.99% (

-0.11)

11% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.7% (

-0.24)

35.29% (

0.24)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.28% (

0.38)

39.72% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.6% (

0.35)

76.39% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 66.53%

Roma 14.47%

Draw 18.99%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Roma
2-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.21% Total : 66.53%	1-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.99%	1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.8% Total : 14.47%