Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK

Gewiss Stadium

Atalanta
3 - 0
Torino

Scamacca (26'), Lookman (43'), Pasalic (71' pen.)
Hien (77')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Linetty (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 3-0 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, May 22 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torino

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 3-1 AC Milan
Saturday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BC	Draw	Torino
47.96% ( 0.01)	26.06% ( -0)	25.97% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.53% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.84% (

-0)

54.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43% (

-0)

75.57% (

-0)

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.41% (

22.59% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.8% (

0.01)

56.2% (

-0.01)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.98% (

-0.01)

36.02% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.2% (

-0.01)

72.8% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Atalanta BC 47.96%

Torino 25.97%

Draw 26.06%

Atalanta BC	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 47.96%	1-1 @ 12.36% 0-0 @ 8.14% 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.97%