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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Torino logo

Atalanta
3 - 0
Torino

Scamacca (26'), Lookman (43'), Pasalic (71' pen.)
Hien (77')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Linetty (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torino 3-1 AC Milan
Saturday, May 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 1-0 Torino

Torino may be tough to beat, but they are far less effective on the road; as the away side will most likely lie deep, Atalanta can play their way into the game following a few days of celebration, before scoring once to post a sixth straight Serie A win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 47.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
47.96% (0.012 0.01) 26.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.97% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 49.53% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.84% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)54.15%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)75.57% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.41% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)56.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.98% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)36.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)72.8% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 47.96%
    Torino 25.97%
    Draw 26.06%
Atalanta BCDrawTorino
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.96%
1-1 @ 12.36%
0-0 @ 8.14%
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Torino

Atalanta BC
75.0%
Draw
11.7%
Torino
13.3%
180
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Torino
3-0
Atalanta
Zapata (22', 90+5'), Sanabria (56' pen.)
Linetty (5'), Buongiorno (45+1')

Scalvini (9'), de Roon (75')
Apr 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Sanabria (75')
Zappacosta (34'), Zapata (88')
Sep 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Atalanta
3-1
Torino
Koopmeiners (45+4' pen., 47', 84' pen.)
Vlasic (77')
Apr 27, 2022 7.15pm
Gameweek 20
Atalanta
4-4
Torino
Muriel (18' pen., 84' pen.), De Roon (23'), Pasalic (78')
Freuler (35'), Pasalic (69')
Sanabria (4'), Lukic (36' pen., 63'), Freuler (67' og.)
Lukic (52'), Zima (83')
Aug 21, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Torino
1-2
Atalanta
Belotti (79')
Rincon (52'), Bremer (72')
Muriel (6'), Piccoli (90+3')
Demiral (23'), Musso (81')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Tuesday, June 25
 
8pm
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
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8pm
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
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Wednesday, July 10
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Netherlands Netherlands21104
Q France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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