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Europa League
Atalanta logo
Europa League | Final
May 22, 2024 at 8pm UK
Aviva Stadium
Leverkusen logo

Atalanta
vs.
B. Leverkusen

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Europa League final between Atalanta BC and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lecce 0-2 Atalanta
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Serie A

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Augsburg
Saturday, May 18 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Atalanta BC has a probability of 27.84% and a draw has a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win is 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.81%).

Result
Atalanta BCDrawBayer Leverkusen
27.84% (0.652 0.65) 24.92% (0.615 0.62) 47.24% (-1.268 -1.27)
Both teams to score 54.53% (-1.511 -1.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.68% (-2.221 -2.22)48.32% (2.22 2.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.54% (-2.068 -2.07)70.46% (2.066 2.07)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.59% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)31.41% (0.668 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.21% (-0.779 -0.78)67.79% (0.779 0.78)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (-1.415 -1.42)20.5% (1.414 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (-2.292 -2.29)52.98% (2.289 2.29)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 27.84%
    Bayer Leverkusen 47.23%
    Draw 24.91%
Atalanta BCDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.536 0.54)
2-1 @ 6.84% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.32% (0.236 0.24)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 27.84%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.44% (0.571 0.57)
2-2 @ 5.42% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.109 -0.11)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 10.2% (0.481 0.48)
1-2 @ 9.36% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 8.09% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.95% (-0.294 -0.29)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.227 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.96% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-4 @ 1.69% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 47.23%

Who will win Wednesday's Europa League clash between Atalanta and B. Leverkusen?

Atalanta BC
Draw
Bayer Leverkusen
Atalanta BC
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Bayer Leverkusen
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2022 5.45pm
Last 16 2nd Leg
B. Leverkusen
0-1
Atalanta

Fosu-Mensah (56'), Diaby (90'), Andrich (90')
Boga (90+1')
> Preview
Mar 10, 2022 8pm
Last 16 1st Leg
Atalanta
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Malinovskyi (23'), Muriel (25', 49')
Toloi (64')
Aranguiz (11'), Diaby (63')
Bakker (73'), Wirtz (78')
> Preview
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