Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 34

May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Augsburg

Boniface (12'), Andrich (27')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Komur (62')
Uduokhai (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-5 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 Stuttgart
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.81%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 9.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 3-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.44%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Augsburg
76.81% ( 0.62)	13.29% ( -0.14)	9.9% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 61.65% (

-1.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.03% (

-0.88)

22.97% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

57.78% (

-1.2)

42.21% (

1.2)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.08% (

-0.09)

4.91% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.28% (

-0.26)

19.72% (

0.26)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.84% (

-1.56)

35.16% (

1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.09% (

-1.66)

71.91% (

1.66)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 76.81%

Augsburg 9.9%

Draw 13.29%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Augsburg
3-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.39) 4-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.29) 3-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.17) 5-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.15) 5-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.1) 6-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.8% ( 0.05) 4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.1) 6-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.72% Total : 76.81%	1-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.34% Total : 13.29%	1-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.82% Total : 9.9%