Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Tietz (47'), Michel (81')
Breithaupt (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Khedira (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Augsburg
Sunday, April 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 50.06%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.99%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
50.06%	24.91%	25.02% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.13% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.67% (

0.01)

50.33% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.73% (

0.01)

72.27% (

-0.01)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.88% (

20.12% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.62% (

0.01)

52.37% (

-0.01)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.25% (

0.01)

34.74% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.52% (

0.01)

71.47% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 50.05%

Union Berlin 25.02%

Draw 24.9%

Augsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.8% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 2.04% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.76% Total : 50.05%	1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.99% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.12% Total : 25.02%