Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 36.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (5.56%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.