Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 0
Heidenheim

Gouweleeuw (22')
Mbabu (27')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gimber (73'), Pick (90+4'), Theuerkauf (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Darmstadt 0-6 Augsburg
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heidenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Heidenheim
38.7% ( -0.12)	23.66% ( -0)	37.64% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 62.79% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.84% (

0.02)

39.16% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.51% (

0.02)

61.49% (

-0.02)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.5% (

-0.05)

20.5% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.01% (

-0.08)

52.99% (

0.08)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.98% (

0.07)

21.02% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.2% (

0.1)

53.8% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 38.7%

Heidenheim 37.64%

Draw 23.66%

Augsburg	Draw	Heidenheim
2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 38.7%	1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.66%	1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 37.64%