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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 32.18% ( | 22.91% ( | 44.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 64.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.28% ( | 36.72% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.12% ( | 58.88% ( |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.24% ( | 22.76% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.55% ( | 56.45% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.16% ( | 16.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.16% ( | 46.84% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 1-0 @ 5.67% ( 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-1 @ 3.69% ( 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 3-0 @ 2.07% ( 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 4-2 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 32.18% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( 2-2 @ 6.66% ( 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 3-3 @ 1.95% ( Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.91% | 1-2 @ 9% ( 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 1-3 @ 5.35% ( 2-3 @ 3.96% ( 0-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.38% ( 2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0-4 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 4.33% Total : 44.91% |