Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 6.30pm
0
5
HT : 0 2
FT Vonovia Ruhrstadion
  • Felix Passlack 15' redcard
  • Keven Schlotterbeck 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ivan Ordets 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Tella 27'
  • goal Patrik Schick 41'
  • goal Victor Boniface 45'+2'
  • goal Amine Adli 76'
  • goal Josip Stanisic 86'
  • goal Alex Grimaldo 90'+3'

VfL Bochum vs Bayer Leverkusen - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2024 2.30pm
Union Berlin 3 - 4 VfL Bochum
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Kevin Stoger

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2024 4.30pm
Frankfurt 1 - 5 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Florian Wirtz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.45%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result

VfL Bochum 22.6% (-7.47)
Draw 21.95% (+0.14)
Bayer Leverkusen 55.45% (+7.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.08% (-8.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.2% (-7.37)
Under 2.5 39.8% (+7.37)
Over 3.5 37.84% (-8.09)
Under 3.5 62.16% (+8.09)
Over 4.5 20.43% (-6.67)
Under 4.5 79.57% (+6.67)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5 68.92% (-9.20)
Under 0.5 31.08% (+9.20)
Over 1.5 32.6% (-12.27)
Under 1.5 67.4% (+12.27)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5 85.71% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 14.29% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 57.91% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 42.09% (+0.44)

Score analysis

VfL Bochum 22.6%
Draw 21.95%
Bayer Leverkusen 55.45%
VfL Bochum
2-1 @ 5.9% (-1.07)
1-0 @ 5.19% (+0.52)
2-0 @ 3.03% (-0.53)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-1.24)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-1.23)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.62)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 22.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.09% (+0.92)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-1.10)
0-0 @ 4.44% (+1.37)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.82)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.95%
Bayer Leverkusen
1-2 @ 9.82% (+0.83)
0-1 @ 8.64% (+2.61)
0-2 @ 8.41% (+2.49)
1-3 @ 6.37% (+0.50)
0-3 @ 5.45% (+1.59)
2-3 @ 3.72% (-0.75)
1-4 @ 3.1% (+0.22)
0-4 @ 2.65% (+0.76)
2-4 @ 1.81% (-0.39)
1-5 @ 1.21% (+0.08)
0-5 @ 1.03% (-73.47)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 55.45%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT BayArena
  • Patrik Schick 30' goal
  • Patrik Schick 32' goal
  • Patrik Schick 45'+1' goal
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 69' goal
  • yellowcard Erhan Masovic 39'
  • yellowcard Keven Schlotterbeck 50'
Bundesliga Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Philipp Forster 19' goal
  • Takuma Asano 34' goal
  • Kevin Stoger 86' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Edmond Tapsoba 8' goal
  • Adam Hlozek 53' goal
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 10, 2022 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 20, 2021 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Amine Adli 4' goal
  • Jeremie Frimpong 30' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 49' yellowcard
  • Amine Adli 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erhan Masovic 63'
  • yellowcard Danilo Soares 90'+1'