Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.05%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Hull City win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.