Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Preston North End win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Fiorentina
24% ( -4.09)	25.52% ( 0.13)	50.49% ( 3.97)

Both teams to score 49.29% (

-3.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.45% (

-3.4)

53.55% (

3.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.94% (

-2.95)

75.06% (

2.95)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.58% (

-5.24)

37.42% (

5.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.8% (

-5.54)

74.2% (

5.54)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.77% (

0.33)

21.23% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.86% (

0.51)

54.13% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Preston North End 24%

Fiorentina 50.48%

Draw 25.51%

Preston North End	Draw	Fiorentina
1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.9) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.62) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.64) 3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.47) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.43) Other @ 1.68% Total : 24%	1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 1.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.64) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.51%	0-1 @ 12.31% ( 1.67) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( 1.37) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.93% ( 0.75) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.3) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.31) 1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.4% Total : 50.48%