Bolton logo
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Bolton
1 - 1
Fiorentina

Adeboyejo (65')
Rubino (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brekalo (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Bolton Wanderers and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Chorley 0-4 Bolton
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Fiorentina

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Fiorentina 4-0 Reggiana
Friday, July 19 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawFiorentina
42.68% (0.166 0.17)23.7% (0.030000000000001 0.03)33.61% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 61.86% (-0.175 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.93% (-0.201 -0.2)40.06% (0.202 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.57% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)62.43% (0.21 0.21)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.91% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)19.09% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.29% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)50.7% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.46% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)23.54% (0.205 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.41% (-0.297 -0.3)57.59% (0.298 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 42.68%
    Fiorentina 33.61%
    Draw 23.7%
Bolton WanderersDrawFiorentina
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.44% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.92% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.4% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 42.68%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.61%

How you voted: Bolton vs Fiorentina

Bolton Wanderers
31.8%
Draw
9.1%
Fiorentina
59.1%
22