Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.