Club Friendlies 3
Jul 26, 2024 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Victor Adeboyejo 65' goal
  • Tommaso Rubino 74' yellowcard
  • goal Josip Brekalo 21'

Bolton Wanderers vs Fiorentina - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 23, 2024 7.30pm
Chorley 0 - 4 Bolton

Fiorentina

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2024 7.00pm
Fiorentina 4 - 0 Reggiana

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 42.68% (+0.17)
Draw 23.7% (+0.04)
Fiorentina 33.61% (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.86% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.93% (-0.21)
Under 2.5 40.06% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 37.57% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 62.43% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 20.22% (-0.17)
Under 4.5 79.78% (+0.17)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 80.91% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 19.09% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 49.29% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 50.7% (+0.03)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 76.46% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 23.54% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 42.41% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 57.59% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 42.68%
Draw 23.7%
Fiorentina 33.61%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.91% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 7.44% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 6.16% (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.92% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.56% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.4% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 42.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.76% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.45% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.49% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.7%
Fiorentina
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.5% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 3.11% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.27% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.61%