League One
May 18, 2024 4.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Wembley Stadium
  • Gethin Jones 47' yellowcard
  • Kyle Dempsey 68' yellowcard
  • Nathan Baxter 72' yellowcard
  • George Thomason 77' yellowcard
  • goal Josh Murphy 31'
  • goal Josh Murphy 42'
  • yellowcard Tyler Goodrham 90'+8'

Bolton Wanderers vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
May 7, 2024 8.00pm
Bolton 2 - 3 Barnsley
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Dion Charles

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2024 8.00pm
Peterborough 1 - 1 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 56.75% (-0.41)
Draw 21.62% (+0.01)
Oxford United 21.64% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.88% (+0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.56% (+0.48)
Under 2.5 39.44% (-0.48)
Over 3.5 38.22% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 61.78% (-0.50)
Over 4.5 20.73% (+0.40)
Under 4.5 79.27% (-0.39)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 86.24% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 13.76% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 58.95% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 41.05% (-0.07)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 68.27% (+0.64)
Under 0.5 31.73% (-0.64)
Over 1.5 31.85% (+0.73)
Under 1.5 68.16% (-0.72)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 56.75%
Draw 21.62%
Oxford United 21.64%
Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.19)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.18)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.74% (+0.07)
4-1 @ 3.23%
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.86% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.28% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 56.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.66% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.10)
3-3 @ 1.43% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.62%
Oxford United
1-2 @ 5.71% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.88% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.18% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 1.1% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 21.64%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 4 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Nathanael Ogbeta 19' goal
  • Nathanael Ogbeta 19' goal
  • Josh Cogley 27' goal
  • Josh Cogley 27' goal
  • George Thomason 59' goal
  • Aaron Collins 65' goal
  • Josh Sheehan 69' goal
  • yellowcard Owen Dale 55'
  • yellowcard Owen Dale 55'
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 63'
  • yellowcard Ciaron Brown 72'
League One Gameweek 20
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Stanley Mills 37' yellowcard
  • Billy Bodin 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard George Thomason 25'
  • yellowcard Nathan Baxter 45'+2'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • goal Dion Charles 7'
League One Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 73' goal
  • goal Djavan Anderson 25'
  • goal Ciaron Brown 53'
  • goal Steve Seddon 79'
League One Gameweek 33
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Billy Bodin 9' goal
  • Elliott Moore 26' yellowcard
  • Billy Bodin 32' goal
  • Herbie Kane 70' yellowcard
  • Steve Seddon 76' yellowcard
  • goal Declan John 10'
  • goal Marlon Fossey 38'
  • yellowcard Oladapo Afolayan 74'
  • goal Amadou Bakayoko 86'
League One Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Oladapo Afolayan 45' goal
  • Eoin Doyle 63' goal
  • goal Matt Taylor 11'
  • yellowcard Matt Taylor 39'
  • yellowcard Marcus McGuane 85'
  • yellowcard Anthony Forde 90'+2'