League One

League One | Gameweek 40

Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Lincoln

Rodrigues (63'), Browne (73'), McGuane (89'), Brannagan (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mandroiu (47' pen.)
Mitchell (16'), Duffy (20'), O'Connor (49'), Taylor (74'), Mandroiu (79'), House (90+5'), Erhahon (90+6')
Duffy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 28.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Lincoln City
46.78% ( 0.1)	25.11% ( -0.02)	28.11% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 54.1% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.03% (

0.04)

48.97% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.94% (

0.04)

71.06% (

-0.04)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

0.06)

20.96% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.28% (

0.09)

53.72% (

-0.1)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.45% (

-0.04)

31.55% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.05% (

-0.05)

67.95% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 46.77%

Lincoln City 28.11%

Draw 25.11%

Oxford United	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 46.77%	1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.11%