League One Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Joe Powell 50' yellowcard
  • John Brayford 83' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Harris 24'
  • goal Mark Harris 57'
  • goal Josh Murphy 62'
  • goal James Henry 69'

Burton Albion vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
Burton Albion 1 - 3 Barnsley
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mark Helm

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 4 - 0 Fleetwood
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result

Burton Albion 24.32% (+0.02)
Draw 24.07% (+0.01)
Oxford United 51.61% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.07% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.59% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 47.41% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 30.37% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 69.63% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 14.93% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.07% (+0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 66.24% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 33.76% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 29.57% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 70.42% (-0.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 81.63% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 18.37% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 50.51% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 49.49% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 24.32%
Draw 24.07%
Oxford United 51.6%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 6.73% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 6.19% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.66% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 24.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.41% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.2% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.25% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.07%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.67% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 5.03% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 2.13% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 51.6%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Ruben Rodrigues 25' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 83' goal
  • Marcus McGuane 89' goal
  • yellowcard Josh Gordon 74'
League One Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Simon Eastwood 40' goal
  • Dale Taylor 49' goal
League One Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Cameron Brannagan 48' goal
  • Kyle Joseph 71' goal
  • Stuart Findlay 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Hughes 58'
  • yellowcard John Brayford 60'
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 77'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 4 1
FT
  • Sam Baldock 7' goal
  • Gavin Whyte 35' goal
  • Sam Baldock 40' goal
  • Matt Taylor 45' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Saydee 29'
  • goal Adlene Guedioura 45'+2'
League One Gameweek 15
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Michael Bostwick 38' yellowcard
  • Lucas Akins 53' yellowcard
  • Charlie Lakin 80' goal
  • Kane Hemmings 86' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Taylor 1'
  • goal Nathan Holland 43'
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 68'
  • goal James Henry 84'
EFL Cup
Aug 11, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET Pirelli Stadium
  • John Mousinho 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Billy Bodin 77'
  • goal Nathan Holland 85'