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Championship header 2

League One

Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Cheltenham Town

Oxford Utd
2 - 1
Cheltenham

Murphy (45+3'), Leigh (88')
Brown (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ferry (80')
Sercombe (20'), Davies (61'), Harrop (73'), (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Charlton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
56.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.38% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)19.71% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 50.09% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34%49.66%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.68% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (0.0010000000000048 0)17.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (0.0020000000000024 0)47.54% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.47% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)76.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 56.9%
    Cheltenham Town 19.71%
    Draw 23.37%
Oxford UnitedDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.96%
2-0 @ 10.51%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.73%
4-0 @ 2.71%
3-2 @ 2.66%
4-1 @ 2.52%
4-2 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 56.9%
1-1 @ 11.11%
0-0 @ 6.8%
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.37%
0-1 @ 6.32%
1-2 @ 5.17%
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 19.71%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Cheltenham

Oxford United
71.4%
Draw
7.1%
Cheltenham Town
21.4%
14
Head to Head
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Gameweek 19
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Oxford Utd
Street (34'), Goodwin (76')
Williams (48'), Bevan (72'), Pett (86'), Southwood (90+2')
Street (45+2')

Thorniley (32'), Rodrigues (55'), Brannagan (72')
Rodrigues (68')
> Preview
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Oxford Utd
4-0
Cheltenham
Goodrham (38'), Joseph (52'), Browne (60', 65')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Cheltenham
1-2
Oxford Utd
Perry (63')
Chapman (43'), Taylor (84'), Ferry (90'), Lloyd (90+3'), Norton (90+4')
Chapman (90+3')
Brannagan (66', 86')
Joseph (61'), Bodin (70'), Taylor (90'), Brannagan (90+4')
Bodin (74')
Jan 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 26
Oxford Utd
1-1
Cheltenham
Sykes (82')
Sykes (32')
Wright (48')
Thomas (45'), Blair (58'), Freestone (71'), Evans (72'), Raglan (77')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Cheltenham
1-0
Oxford Utd
May (68')
Thomas (65'), Blair (88')

Long (90+4')