League One

League One | Gameweek 33

Feb 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
4 - 2
Wigan

Murphy (45+3'), Brannagan (55'), Rodrigues (76'), Goodrham (90+4')
Dale (39'), Moore (64'), Brannagan (71')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jones (41'), Aasgaard (80')
Hughes (12'), Maloney (13'), Adeeko (23'), Jones (42'), Sze (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Wigan Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 1-1 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Wigan Athletic
44.96% ( 0.02)	25.41% ( 0.02)	29.63% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.11% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.59% (

-0.1)

49.41% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.55% (

-0.09)

71.45% (

0.09)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.04% (

-0.03)

21.96% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.76% (

-0.05)

55.24% (

0.05)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.34% (

-0.08)

30.66% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.09% (

-0.09)

66.91% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 44.95%

Wigan Athletic 29.63%

Draw 25.41%

Oxford United	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.15% 2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.91% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.48% 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.95%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.04% Total : 29.63%