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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Stevenage |
| 33.84% | 26.49% ( | 39.67% |
| Both teams to score 52.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( | 52.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.82% ( | 74.18% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.61% | 29.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% ( | 65.38% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.04% ( | 25.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.03% ( | 60.97% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( 2-1 @ 7.72% 2-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.34% 3-2 @ 2.12% ( 4-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.84% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.48% | 0-1 @ 10.28% 1-2 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 6.94% 1-3 @ 3.82% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 1-4 @ 1.29% 0-4 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.67% |