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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 39.25% ( | 27.01% ( | 33.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% ( | 54.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.03% ( | 75.96% ( |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% ( | 27.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.42% ( | 62.57% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.49% ( | 30.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.28% | 66.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 2-0 @ 7.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 4-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.24% | 1-1 @ 12.82% ( 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.96% ( Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0-3 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.96% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 33.73% |