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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Wigan Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 31.72% | 27.17% | 41.11% |
| Both teams to score 49.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.31% | 55.69% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.16% | 76.84% |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.59% | 32.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.07% | 68.92% |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.35% | 26.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.11% | 61.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Northampton Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.73% 2-1 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 5.48% 3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.72% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.64% 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 11.42% 1-2 @ 8.51% 0-2 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 3.75% 0-3 @ 3.33% 2-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.11% |