League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Bowie (66' pen.)
Willis (53'), Simpson (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Smith (26'), Freestone (66'), Long (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 1-2 Northampton
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-2 Reading
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Northampton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Cheltenham Town
48.02% ( -0.29)	25.54% ( 0.08)	26.43% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 51.47% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.2% (

-0.17)

51.8% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.43% (

-0.15)

73.56% (

0.15)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.42% (

-0.19)

21.58% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.33% (

-0.3)

54.67% (

0.31)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.64% (

0.08)

34.36% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.93% (

0.09)

71.06% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 48.01%

Cheltenham Town 26.43%

Draw 25.53%

Northampton Town	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 48.01%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.53%	0-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.43%