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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Reading logo

Cheltenham
2 - 2
Reading

Sercombe (29'), Button (37' og.)
Pett (68'), Smith (79')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Dorsett (45'), Mukairu (45+2')
Mbengue (27'), Smith (32'), Dorsett (36'), Knibbs (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 2-2 Reading
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawReading
33.94% (0.187 0.19)25.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)40.34% (-0.186 -0.19)
Both teams to score 54.85% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (0.044000000000004 0.04)49.23% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (0.038999999999998 0.04)71.29% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29% (0.137 0.14)27.72% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.72% (0.175 0.17)63.28% (-0.171 -0.17)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)24.12% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.58% (-0.108 -0.11)58.42% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 33.95%
    Reading 40.34%
    Draw 25.71%
Cheltenham TownDrawReading
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% (0.033 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.025 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 40.34%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Reading

Cheltenham Town
12.5%
Draw
25.0%
Reading
62.5%
8
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
1-0
Cheltenham
Ferry (33' og.)
Carson (49'), McIntyre (90+6')

Elliott (0'), Long (38'), Street (90+5')