League One Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Liam Sercombe 29' goal
  • David Button 37' goal
  • Tom Pett 68' yellowcard
  • Liam Smith 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Amadou Mbengue 27'
  • yellowcard Sam Smith 32'
  • yellowcard Jeriel Dorsett 36'
  • goal Jeriel Dorsett 45'
  • goal Paul Mukairu 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Harvey Knibbs 89'

Cheltenham Town vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
Cheltenham 2 - 0 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Liam Sercombe

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
Peterborough 2 - 2 Reading
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 40.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result

Cheltenham Town 33.94% (+0.19)
Draw 25.72% (+0.01)
Reading 40.34% (-0.19)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.85% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.77% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 49.23% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.71% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.29% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.79% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 86.21% (-0.03)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.29% (+0.14)
Under 0.5 27.72% (-0.14)
Over 1.5 36.72% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 63.28% (-0.18)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 75.89% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 24.12% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 41.58% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 58.42% (+0.12)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 33.95%
Draw 25.71%
Reading 40.34%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 8.58% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.83% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.35% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.38% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.35% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 33.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.57% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
Reading
0-1 @ 9.51% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.05)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.21% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 40.34%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Will Ferry 33' goal
  • Matty Carson 49' yellowcard
  • Tom McIntyre 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wade Elliott 0'
  • yellowcard Sean Long 38'
  • yellowcard Rob Street 90'+5'