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Championship header 2

League One

Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 30
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Oxford United

Bristol Rovers
3 - 1
Oxford Utd

Martin (16', 16'), Thomas (22', 22'), Vale (77')
Wilson (34'), Wilson (34')
FT(HT: 4-0)
Harris (58')
Stevens (45+2'), Stevens (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Exeter
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawOxford United
40.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.55% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)35.3% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 59.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (0.0010000000000048 0)43.73% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)66.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.0010000000000048 0)21.79% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45% (0.0030000000000001 0)55% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68%24.31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)58.69%
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 40.15%
    Oxford United 35.3%
    Draw 24.55%
Bristol RoversDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 8.7%
1-0 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.42% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.12%
3-0 @ 3.12%
4-1 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 40.15%
1-1 @ 11.41%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.55%
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-1 @ 7.49%
0-2 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 35.3%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Oxford Utd

Bristol Rovers
33.3%
Draw
14.3%
Oxford United
52.4%
21
Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 12
Oxford Utd
2-1
Bristol Rovers
Bodin (13'), Long (81')
Brannagan (15'), Moore (46'), Smyth (90')
Smyth (90+5'), Mills (90+6')
Collins (89')
Barton (16'), Martin (48'), Brown (57'), Finley (78')
Brown (63')
Feb 25, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 34
Oxford Utd
0-3
Bristol Rovers
Sinclair (22' pen.), Collins (28'), Hoole (75')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Bristol Rovers
1-0
Oxford Utd
Marquis (34')
Saunders (65'), Grant (90+2')

Seddon (29'), Moore (40'), Brannagan (90+3')
Nov 16, 2021 7pm
First Round Replays
Bristol Rovers
4-3
Oxford Utd
Finley (48'), Spence (110', 118'), Collins (115')
Evans (50'), Spence (107')
Taylor (57' pen.), Bodin (91'), Seddon (93')
Kane (4'), Bodin (38')
Nov 7, 2021 1pm
First Round
Oxford Utd
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Taylor (11'), McGuane (51')
Taylor (32')
Finley (45+2'), Evans (87' pen.)
Finley (33'), Coutts (45')