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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Barnsley |
| 46.01% ( | 23.93% | 30.05% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( | 42.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.97% ( | 65.03% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% ( | 18.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.9% ( | 50.1% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.05% ( | 26.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.71% ( | 62.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Barnsley |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 2-0 @ 7.08% ( 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 3-2 @ 3.4% 4-1 @ 2.17% 4-0 @ 1.66% ( 4-2 @ 1.42% ( Other @ 3.4% Total : 46.01% | 1-1 @ 11.08% 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0-2 @ 4.34% ( 1-3 @ 3.18% ( 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0-3 @ 1.9% ( 1-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 3.06% Total : 30.06% |