League One Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Oakwell Stadium
  • Devante Cole 58' goal
  • Herbie Kane 86' goal
  • goal Luke Armstrong 7'
  • yellowcard Luke Armstrong 81'

Barnsley vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
Barnsley 2 - 1 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
86
Top scorer
Devante Cole

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
Carlisle 1 - 3 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result

Barnsley 58.35% (-0.02)
Draw 22.49% (+0.01)
Carlisle United 19.16% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.93% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.25% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 46.74% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.99% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 15.36% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.63% (+0.01)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5 84.29% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.7% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 55.22% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 44.78% (+0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 61.61% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 38.39% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 24.85% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 75.14% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Barnsley 58.35%
Draw 22.49%
Carlisle United 19.16%
Barnsley
1-0 @ 11.16%
2-0 @ 10.33%
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35%
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 58.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68%
0-0 @ 6.03% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 22.49%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.12% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 19.16%

Head to Head

EFL Cup Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Callum Styles 48' yellowcard
  • Mads Andersen 57' yellowcard
  • Mike-Steven Bahre 83' yellowcard
  • goal Harry McKirdy 24'
  • goal Jack Bridge 58'
  • goal Nathan Thomas 64'