League One

League One | Gameweek 18

Jan 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Oakwell Stadium

Barnsley
2 - 1
Carlisle

Cole (58'), Kane (86' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Armstrong (7')
Armstrong (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Barnsley and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Oxford Utd
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Barnsley	Draw	Carlisle United
58.35% ( -0.01)	22.49% ( 0)	19.16% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.93% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.25% (

-0.01)

46.74% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.99% (

-0.01)

69% (

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.29% (

-0.01)

15.7% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.22% (

-0.01)

44.78% (

0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.61% (

38.39% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.85% (

75.14% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Barnsley 58.35%

Carlisle United 19.16%

Draw 22.49%

Barnsley	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 11.16% 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.31% Total : 58.35%	1-1 @ 10.68% 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.73% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.49%	0-1 @ 5.77% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.36% Total : 19.16%