League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 1
Port Vale

Gibson (80' pen.), Mellish (90+3')
Robinson (23'), Mellish (45+1'), Moxon (51')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garrity (49')
Iacovitti (33'), Wilson (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 2-0 Carlisle
Friday, December 29 at 7pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 Blackpool
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Port Vale
42.19% ( -0.01)	26.54% ( -0)	31.27% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.35% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.64% (

0.02)

53.36% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.1% (

0.02)

74.9% (

-0.02)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.99% (

0.01)

25.02% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.32% (

0.01)

59.68% (

-0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.48% (

0.02)

31.53% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.09% (

0.02)

67.92% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 42.18%

Port Vale 31.27%

Draw 26.53%

Carlisle United	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.92% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.18%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 31.27%