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Championship header 2

League One

Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Blackpool

Port Vale
3 - 0
Blackpool

Garrity (39'), Wilson (57'), Smith (80')
Devine (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morgan (18'), Connolly (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Port Vale and Blackpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Blackpool

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Blackpool
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBlackpool
29.12% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)25.54% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.33% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.4% (0.061 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8% (0.084000000000003 0.08)50.2% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.84% (0.074999999999999 0.07)72.16% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.56% (0.034000000000006 0.03)31.44% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.18% (0.041000000000004 0.04)67.81% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.88% (0.051000000000002 0.05)22.12% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.51% (0.076000000000001 0.08)55.49% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 29.12%
    Blackpool 45.33%
    Draw 25.54%
Port ValeDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 8.05% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.02%
2-0 @ 4.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 29.12%
1-1 @ 12.14% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.95% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.54%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.16% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.98% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.67% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.5% (0.0039999999999998 0)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 45.33%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Blackpool

Port Vale
27.3%
Draw
9.1%
Blackpool
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Blackpool
0-0
Port Vale
Carey (24')
Jones (88')
Jan 9, 2016 3pm
Blackpool
0-1
Port Vale

Norris (21'), McAlister (52'), Aimson (66')
Leitch-Smith (49')
Brown (91')
Nov 24, 2015 7.45pm
Port Vale
2-0
Blackpool
Birchall (86'), Leitch-Smith (82')
McGivern (58')

Robertson (26'), McAlister (51'), Osayi-Samuel (67')
Oct 6, 2015 7.45pm
Second Round
Port Vale
1-2
Blackpool
Grant (52' pen.)
Dickinson (90')
Rivers (44'), Robertson (56')
Paterson (23'), Higham (27'), Robertson (52'), Herron (74'), Osayi-Samuel (91')
Jan 13, 2007 3pm
Blackpool
2-1
Port Vale
Fox (76'), Morrell (72')
Sodje (90' pen.)