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Championship header 2

League One

Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 13
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Exeter City

Bristol Rovers
0 - 1
Exeter


Evans (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cox (12')
Cole (77'), Wildschut (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Blackpool
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 51.65%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 24.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
51.65% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)24.17% (0.061 0.06)24.18% (0.151 0.15)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.106 -0.11)47.96% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.87% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)70.13% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.44% (-0.119 -0.12)18.56% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.19% (-0.203 -0.2)49.81% (0.209 0.21)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82% (0.076999999999998 0.08)34.18% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13% (0.081 0.08)70.87% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 51.65%
    Exeter City 24.18%
    Draw 24.16%
Bristol RoversDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 51.65%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.029 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.16%
0-1 @ 6.81% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.66% (0.031 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 24.18%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Exeter

Bristol Rovers
52.9%
Draw
29.4%
Exeter City
17.6%
17
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Bristol Rovers
3-4
Exeter
Collins (57'), Coburn (64'), Sinclair (74' pen.)
Nombe (13', 90+2'), Collins (45+2'), Dieng (85')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Exeter
2-2
Bristol Rovers
Brown (72' pen.), Nombe (82')
Marquis (63'), Loft (90+2')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Bristol Rovers
1-1
Exeter
Hoole (10')
Brown (24')
Grounds (90')
Nov 10, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Exeter
5-3
Bristol Rovers
Coley (2', 44'), Dieng (4'), Amond (12', 38')
Sweeney (76'), Daniel (90+2')
Westbrooke (61'), Jones (72'), Anderton (88')
Martinez (24'), Jones (74'), Mbuenimo (81')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 4
Exeter
4-1
Bristol Rovers
Jay (3', 15'), Dieng (22'), Kite (24')
Edwards (87')
Finley (70')
Baldwin (24'), Finley (59')