/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Frealog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexelog.png)
-
Harvey Knibbs
9'
-
Michael Craig
42'
-
Alex Hartridge
45'+2'
-
Femi Azeez
77'
-
Jeriel Dorsett
81'
-
Zak Jules
18'
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Dion Rankine
68'
Reading vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F49%2Freading.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.
Result
Reading
49.17%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
23.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Exeter City
26.89%
▼
(-0.14)
Both Teams to Score:
57.02%
▼
(-0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
55.31%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 2.5
44.69%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 3.5
32.95%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
67.05%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 4.5
16.76%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 4.5
83.24%
▲
(+0.07)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5
81.73%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
18.27%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
50.67%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
49.33%
▼
(-0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
69.76%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 0.5
30.23%
▲
(+0.15)
Over 1.5
33.6%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
66.4%
▲
(+0.18)
Score analysis
Reading
49.17%
Draw
23.93%
Exeter City
26.89%
Reading
2-1
@
9.55%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 49.17%
1-0 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 5.41% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 49.17%
Draw
1-1
@
11.23%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.93%
2-2 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.93%
Exeter City
1-2
@
6.72%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 26.89%
0-1 @ 6.61% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.95% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.28% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 26.89%