League One

League One | Gameweek 26

Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Select Car Leasing Stadium

Reading
3 - 2
Exeter

Knibbs (9'), Hartridge (45+2' og.), Azeez (77')
Craig (42'), Dorsett (81')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Jules (18'), Rankine (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Reading and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 2-2 Reading
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 49.17%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 26.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Reading would win this match.

Result
Reading	Draw	Exeter City
49.17% ( 0.13)	23.94% ( -0)	26.89% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 57.02% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.31% (

-0.09)

44.69% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.95% (

-0.09)

67.05% (

0.08)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.73% (

0.02)

18.27% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.67% (

0.03)

49.33% (

-0.03)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76% (

-0.15)

30.23% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.6% (

-0.17)

66.4% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Reading 49.17%

Exeter City 26.89%

Draw 23.93%

Reading	Draw	Exeter City
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.17%	1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 26.89%